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After North Korea\'s Missile Launch

“No one can ignore us from now.”

These few words, spoken by a North Korean citizen, Jo Chang-ho, in this report by the South Korean international TV broadcaster, Arirang, said so much.

Mr. Jo was referring to the successful launch by his country of a long-range rocket on Wednesday that put a 200-pound, or 90-kilogram, earth surveillance satellite into orbit. The international community believes the launch is a test run for ballistic missile technology that, if perfected, could one day carry nuclear warheads across Asia and across the Pacific to the United States.

As well as joining the elite group of nine nations with nuclear weapons, North Korea also joins a small club of just 10 nations that can launch a satellite on their own. All of which threatens to shift the balance of power in Northeast Asia, said some South Korean commentators.

Most immediately, putting into orbit the Kwangmyongsong-3, or Shining Star-3, satellite, has dramatically boosted the image and authority of Kim Jung-un, the young North Korean leader, my colleague in Seoul, Choe Sung-han, reported.

“In the insular world of North Korea, the country's ability to send a rocket hurtling hundreds of miles on roughly the course it set is a fulfillment of promises that have kept people loyal to the Kim dynasty for decades,” Sung-han wrote. “Under that mythology, the launching was a sign that the so-called arduous march - soldiering on despite isolation and sanctions - was paying off, building a nuclear deterrent that would keep imperialist powers at bay.”

In terms of North Korea's international image, too, it's a turnaround for the chubby, 29-year-old Mr. Kim, whose father, Kim Jong-il, ruled befo re him, and whose grandfather, Kim Il-sung, founded the state in 1948.

Mr. Kim was the butt of headlines around the world late last month after The Onion, an American satirical publication and Web site, named him “Sexiest Man Alive for 2012,” and the People's Daily, the official mouthpiece of China's Communist Party, apparently took the award seriously.

The Onion had another try at levity over Wednesday's launch, “reporting” that Mr. Kim's glamorous wife had escaped on the missile.

The truth of course is very different.

Today, Northeast Asia is scrambling to deal with the fallout of the launch and speculation is growing North Korea may next carry out a nuclear test, Reuters reports.

North Korea's test also threatens to spark a wider arms race in a region already unsettled by an increasingly aggressive territorial dispute between China and Japan over uninhabited islands in the East China Sea.

The launch came a day before a Chinese marine surveillance plane crossed into what Japan considers its airspace around the islands, causing Japan to scramble fighter jets for the first time in the dispute.

And it came a week before presidential elections in South Korea.

As The Korea Herald, a South Korean English-language newspaper, wrote, North Korea was now in a “psychologically superior position” to South Korea with this latest step towards gaining high-level nuclear weapons capability.

“As North Korea inches toward its goal of de facto nuclear power status, its fledgling leadership is expected to pursue a more aggressive, bolder external policy,” the newspaper wrote.

A commentary in the People's Daily appealed for calm.

“Rational thinking tells us” that “the more critical the situation the more need to maintain calm,” ran the article in Chinese signed by the pseudonymous Zhong Sheng, whose name is believed to stand for “the voice of the center.”

“The Korean peninsula cannot sustain vicious cycles, this is the basic thinking that one should have when discussing the security situation,” Zhong Sheng wrote.

So while China, North Korea's longtime ally, has officially voiced “regret” at the lau nch â€" something that was noted in Washington â€" it also offered support, saying North Korea “is entitled to the peaceful use of outer space,” the Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman, Hong Lei, said on Wednesday.

For its part, the United States and its allies are talking of stronger international sanctions against North Korea, as my colleagues David E. Sanger and William J. Broad wrote.

But there is considerable doubt about how far China would join in efforts to increase, say, the strict embargoes on goods going in and out of North Korea. Why?

“Beijing's biggest fear has always been destabilizing North Korea, and setting off a collapse that could put South Korean forces, and perhaps their American allies, on China's border,” write David and Bill.



\'Secret\' Arms Deals Provoke Germans

LONDON - There is at least one European export sector that continues to find a ready market around the world - weapons.

In the week in which the European Union received the Nobel Prize for Peace in Oslo, protestors in the Norwegian capital were not alone in pointing out the irony that its member states account for a third of global arms exports.

It is an irony that has a particular resonance in Germany right now, where the government's decisions on a series of weapons deals have created unease among parliamentarians who complain they were kept in the dark.

Chancellor Angela Merkel, who was among the European leaders in Oslo for Monday's Nobel award ceremony, has been described as the architect of a new doctrine to boost the country's weapon sales.

“Germany used to be extremely careful about where it exported its weapons,” wrote Der Spiegel, the German magazine, which has been at the forefront of revelations about Berlin's weapons policy. “In recent years, however, Chancellor Angela Merkel has shown a preference for sending high-tech armaments abroad rather than German soldiers - even if that means doing business with questionable regimes.”

Legislators and German media have seized on the magazine's reporting of a secretive federal security committee, chaired by Ms. Merkel, allegedly involved in discussions of high-tech arms sales to countries that include Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Israel.

The latest is the possible sale of state-of-the-art Boxer armored vehicles to the Saudi Royal Guard, which is responsible for protecting the royal family.

Berlin has already approved the sale of up to 270 Leopard 2 tanks to the kingdom in a deal that provoked a fierce debate in Germany.

“Merkel wants to bolster countries that - at least from the German point of view - can provide for stability in their regions,” according to Der Spiegel, which warned it was a risky policy.

But the argument for boosting German weapons exports is economic as much as it is strategic.

“At the end of the day, it's elementary budgeting,” according to Ben Knight of Deutsche Welle, the German broadcaster.

“Germany, along with most European countries, is in the middle of making drastic cuts in order to bring down its national debt,” he wrote last week. “So instead of costly military operations in the world's many conflict zones, it has apparently decided to sell more weap ons to ‘partner countries' in those regions. What was once hefty expenditure suddenly becomes vast revenue.”

The so-called Merkel Doctrine has prompted an inevitable backlash from peace advocates and others concerned that German weapons could be used to suppress civil unrest.

Jürgen Grässlin, spokesman for a campaign that opposes arms exports, told Deutsche Welle, “The German government is essentially abetting mass murder in various conflict zones in the world.”

Legislators have also expressed concern that potentially far-reaching decisions are being taken by an inner circle of government without the benefit of parliamentary oversight.

In its latest report on what it described as the secret weapons deals, Der Spiegel this week quoted Markus Löning, the government's human rights commissioner, as saying, “Citizens have a justified interest in being informed earlier on about arms sales.”

Germany is not alone, of course, in wanting to maximize its weapons sales.

Mark Bromley, a senior researcher at the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, told Deutsche Welle, “A number of countries in western Europe are seeing declines in defense spending, which is having an impact on both defense acquisitions and production.”

“In an attempt to counter that, several governments - including Germany's - are getting more focused on the promotion of arms exports to regions where budgets haven't been cut, including parts of Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and South America.”

As my colleague Judy Dempsey wrote from Berlin earlier this year, not all these markets are in stable, conflict-free, democratic countries.

“This raises the question,” she wrote, “of how E urope can square its commitment to defending human rights with selling weapons to such countries.”



IHT Quick Read: Dec. 13

NEWS President Bashar al-Assad's forces have resorted to firing ballistic missiles at rebel fighters inside Syria, Obama administration officials said Wednesday, escalating a nearly two-year-old civil war as the government struggles to slow the momentum of a gaining insurgency. Michael R. Gordon and Eric Schmitt report.

A former senior commander of the Bosnian Serb Army, Zdravko Tolimir, was convicted of genocide on Wednesday and sentenced to life in prison for his role in the killings of thousands of prisoners near the Bosnian town of Srebrenica in July 1995. Marlise Simons reports.

< p>German lawmakers on Wednesday passed legislation ensuring parents the right to have their boys circumcised, bringing a close to months of legal uncertainty set off by a regional court's ruling that equated the practice with bodily harm. Melissa Eddy reports from Berlin.

After a raid at Deutsche Bank's headquarters, the company disclosed Wednesday that two of its highest-ranking executives were a focus of a tax evasion investigation, dealing a fresh blow to the German institution's already battered reputation. Jack Ewing reports from Frankfurt.

Members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Count ries left their 30 million-barrel-per-day quota for oil production intact Wednesday, indicating the cartel's satisfaction with current crude prices and its reluctance to do anything to further weaken the world economy. Stanley Reed reports from London and Clifford Krauss from Houston.

Tripoli is no longer known for its meandering souks, its commerce or its culture: The modern-day city is known for its widespread poverty, high levels of corruption and repeated bouts of violence. Josh Wood reports from Tripoli, Lebanon.

In October, the government of Cyprus announced it was negotiating licensing deals with 15 companies to explore for natural gas in a deep-water zone off the island's southwest coast. The government says it expects to sign four contracts early next year - raising deep concerns over the possible reaction of Turkey, which has never recognized the Republic of Cyprus or its maritime borders since the de facto division of the island in 1974. Stephen Glain reports from Nicosia, Cyprus.

ARTS After traveling through Russia, setting up shop at Tate Modern in London and welcoming more than 350,000 visitors since its creation in 2009, the Museum of Everything has parked its 500 works of outsider art in Paris for the winter, at the end of a dark alleyway in St Germain des Prés in what used to be a catholic seminary. Saskia de Rothschild writes from Paris.

A new Paris Opera production of Bizet's “Carmen” at the Bastille involves a suitcase, a wedding dress and a Marilyn Monroe wig. George Loomis reviews.



So Asian Kids Are Good at Math. What Does That Mean?

HONG KONG- There were two conflicting reactions to international exam results this week.

From New York, my colleague Motoko Rich reported that “U.S. students still lag globally in math and science, tests show.” Reflecting worries among parents and educators in the United States, she added that “fretting about how American schools compare with those in other countries has become a regular pastime in education circles.”

Meanwhile, sitting here on the other side of the world, I got a rather self-congratulatory email from the local education bureau saying “it was glad to learn that Hong Kong students had maintained their outstanding performance” in academics.

It's not exactly breaking news that kids from rich Asian states are good at math and science. It seems like each time a new student ranking is released, U.S. commentators resort to hand-wringing over America's place in the world, while Asians pat themselves on the back.

On Tuesday, the Institute of Education Sciences, the research arm of the U.S. Department of Education, released two major reports: Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study (TIMSS) and The Progress In International Reading Literacy Study (PIRLS).
Here are some results:

Fourth-grade science
1. South Korea
2. Singapore
3. Finland
4. Japan
5. Russia
6. Taiwan
7. United States
8. Czech Republic
9. Hong Kong
10. Hungary

Eighth-grade science
1. Singapore
2. Taiwan
3. South Korea
4. Japan
5. Finland
6. Slovenia
7. Russia
8. Hong Kong
9. Britain
10. United States

Fourth-grade math
1. Singapore
2. South Korea
3. Hong Kong
4. Taiwan
5. Japan
6. Northern Ireland
7. Belgium (Flemish areas)
8. Finland
9. Russia
10. Netherlands
11. United States

Eighth-grade math
1. South Korea
2. Singapore
3. Taiwan
4. Hong Kong
5. Japan
6. Russia
7. Finland
8. Israel
9. United States
10. Australia

As the child of Asian immigrants, I am not surprised by these results, which I think are greatly influenced by the weight that a particular culture puts on math and science, and the way that children are raised. (My brother and I spent many a beautiful summer's day standing stiffly in the living room, reciting multiplication tables, while our American friends played outside. To this day, I still do math in my head in Cantonese.)

I am, however, taken back by this:

Fourth-grade readi ng
1. Hong Kong
2. Russia
3. Finland
4. Singapore
5. Northern Ireland
6. United States
7. Denmark
8. Croatia
9. Taiwan
10. Ireland

Hong Kong is not the most literary â€" or literate â€" place I have ever lived. People spent little time reading for pleasure, and our literary scene is tiny compared to those in New York or London. But our kids, allegedly, are the most literate in the world.

Meanwhile, American kids don't do so well on math exams. But America is, by far, the world's technological leader. M.I.T., Caltech, Stanford and Harvard top just about every ranking of research universities. (Their only non-U.S. rivals are top British schools like Oxford and Cambridge). The companies that changed the way that the world uses technology â€" the Apples and Googles â€" come from Silicon Valley.

Something doesn't compute.

One explanation is that student test scores don't correlate very closely with how a country actually excels in particular fields. Singaporean kids might test well, but that does not mean Singapore will create the next Google. Success is determined by factors like migration, government support, and whether a society encourages creativity and risk-taking. America, a nation of immigrants, has long attracted overseas scientists. Its culture of innovation hasn't been replicated anywhere.

The other explanation is that, while student test scores don't have much bearing on the current economy, they can be used as a weather vane for the future. The kids examined for these studies were, on average, 8 and 12 years old. Their impact will come in 20 years' time. Maybe by then, Korean universities will be doing Ivy-League-level research, and Hong Kong will be a literary center. Maybe.

How much weight do you give student rankings like these?
Joanne Lam contributed reporting.